Applied Horticulture at University of Arkansas
Fayetteville, AR · Public · Bachelor's Degree · Applied Horticulture and Horticultural Business Services
DegreeWorth Score (Base Case)
57
Optimistic
58
Base Case
58
Pessimistic
Earnings
$29,241/yr (-28% vs median)
AI Risk
Moderate (28% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (408,500 openings/yr)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Applied Horticulture graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $335K | $285K | $245K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 8.6x | 7.3x | 6.3x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 2.9x | 2.5x | 2.1x |
| Viable Career Paths | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 |
| DegreeWorth Score | 57 | 58 | 58 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition (In-State)
$38,992
Out-of-state: $115,088
Career Paths
Where Applied Horticulture graduates typically work. Raw data — no blending. The scenarios above model how these factors interact. This field has roughly 408,500 combined openings per year.
| Career Path | Wage | Openings/yr | Growth | AI Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farmers, ranchers, and other agricultural managers | $87,980 | 85,500 | -1.3% | 37% |
| Agricultural sciences teachers, postsecondary | $86,350 | 800 | +4.1% | 50% |
| First-line supervisors of farming, fishing, and forestry workers | $59,330 | 8,500 | +2.5% | 28% |
| Farm and home management educators | $58,120 | 1,100 | -2.5% | 37% |
| First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers | $56,170 | 23,200 | +2.3% | 35% |
| First-line supervisors of retail sales workers | $47,320 | 125,100 | -5.0% | 49% |
| Pesticide handlers, sprayers, and applicators, vegetation | $45,200 | 4,100 | +3.8% | 6% |
| Forest and conservation workers | $43,680 | 2,000 | -4.7% | 4% |
Compare & Explore
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the DegreeWorth Score for Applied Horticulture at University of Arkansas?
This program scores 58/100 in the Base Case scenario, factoring in earnings, AI disruption risk, job market size, and earnings multiple. The score ranges from 57 (optimistic) to 58 (pessimistic) depending on AI's impact.
How does AI affect Applied Horticulture career prospects?
We model three scenarios: Optimistic (no disruption), Base Case (gradual AI adoption), and Pessimistic (aggressive AI displacement). In the base case, Applied Horticulture graduates retain 9 of 9 viable career paths. 10-year earnings range from $245,069 (pessimistic) to $335,215 (optimistic).
How many job openings are there for Applied Horticulture graduates?
The career paths mapped to Applied Horticulture have roughly 408,500 combined job openings per year nationally, making this a very large job market.
Is Applied Horticulture at University of Arkansas worth it?
In the Base Case, this degree earns 7.3x its in-state tuition over 10 years. Even in the Pessimistic scenario, the multiple is 6.3x. The spread between scenarios tells you how sensitive this degree is to AI disruption.
Data: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (earnings, debt), Bureau of Labor Statistics 2024-2034
(employment projections), OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs research (AI task exposure), Felten et al. AIOE.
Scenarios use a continuous weighting function combining AI exposure and BLS job growth projections.
"Earnings Multiple" is total 10-year projected earnings divided by tuition — not a discounted financial ROI.
Last updated 2025.