Public Administration at California State University-San Bernardino
San Bernardino, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree
DegreeWorth Score (Base Case)
78
Optimistic
75
Base Case
69
Pessimistic
Earnings
$36,969/yr (-25% vs median)
AI Risk
High (47% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (528,800 openings/yr)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Public Administration graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $591K | $412K | $276K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 19.2x | 13.4x | 9.0x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 7.6x | 5.3x | 3.5x |
| Viable Career Paths | 10 of 10 | 10 of 10 | 10 of 10 |
| DegreeWorth Score | 78 | 75 | 69 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
4-Year Tuition (In-State)
$30,700
Out-of-state: $78,220
Median Debt at Graduation
$12,904
4.2 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$54,225
47% growth from Year 1
Career Paths
Where Public Administration graduates typically work. Raw data — no blending. The scenarios above model how these factors interact. This field has roughly 528,800 combined openings per year.
| Career Path | Wage | Openings/yr | Growth | AI Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chief executives | $206,420 | 22,200 | +4.3% | 56% |
| Managers, all other | $136,550 | 106,700 | +4.5% | 47% |
| Construction managers | $106,980 | 46,800 | +8.7% | 44% |
| General and operations managers | $102,950 | 308,700 | +4.4% | 48% |
| Transportation, storage, and distribution managers | $102,010 | 18,500 | +6.1% | 49% |
| Postmasters and mail superintendents | $92,730 | 900 | -3.5% | 52% |
| Urban and regional planners | $83,720 | 3,400 | +3.4% | 48% |
| Social and community service managers | $78,240 | 18,600 | +6.4% | 39% |
Compare & Explore
Public Administration at Other Schools
Other Majors at California State University-San Bernardino
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the DegreeWorth Score for Public Administration at California State University-San Bernardino?
This program scores 75/100 in the Base Case scenario, factoring in earnings, AI disruption risk, job market size, and earnings multiple. The score ranges from 78 (optimistic) to 69 (pessimistic) depending on AI's impact.
How does AI affect Public Administration career prospects?
We model three scenarios: Optimistic (no disruption), Base Case (gradual AI adoption), and Pessimistic (aggressive AI displacement). In the base case, Public Administration graduates retain 10 of 10 viable career paths. 10-year earnings range from $275,693 (pessimistic) to $590,608 (optimistic).
How many job openings are there for Public Administration graduates?
The career paths mapped to Public Administration have roughly 528,800 combined job openings per year nationally, making this a very large job market.
Is Public Administration at California State University-San Bernardino worth it?
In the Base Case, this degree earns 13.4x its in-state tuition over 10 years. Even in the Pessimistic scenario, the multiple is 9.0x. The spread between scenarios tells you how sensitive this degree is to AI disruption.
Data: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (earnings, debt), Bureau of Labor Statistics 2024-2034
(employment projections), OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs research (AI task exposure), Felten et al. AIOE.
Scenarios use a continuous weighting function combining AI exposure and BLS job growth projections.
"Earnings Multiple" is total 10-year projected earnings divided by tuition — not a discounted financial ROI.
Last updated 2025.